Exit polls suggest Stalin's DMK party might come back in power, however with less margin compared to back in 2021

The Axis My India exit poll for Kerala indicates the United Democratic Front (UDF) is likely to emerge ahead with an estimated 78–90 seats. The Left Democratic Front (LDF) is projected to secure 49–62 seats, while the BJP+ is expected to remain marginal, with a possible tally of 0–3 seats, suggesting a closely watched but UDF-favouring contest.

The People’s Pulse exit poll for Tamil Nadu indicates a strong lead for the DMK alliance (DMK+) with an estimated 125–145 seats. The AIADMK alliance (AIADMK+) is projected to follow with 65–80 seats, while the TVK is expected to make a modest impact, likely securing between 18 and 24 seats.

According to the Matrize exit polls for Kerala, the United Development Front is projected to be ahead with 70-75 seats. The left democratic front is expected to secure 60-65 seats, while NDA is likely to win 3-5 seats

Himanta Sarma might get another term as Axis predicts NDA might win with 88-100 seats while Congress led alliance might win 24-36 seats

P-MARQ predictions:

TMC will secure 118-138 seats
BJP will secure 150-175 seats
And Congress will secure 2-6 seats

As Tamil Nadu braces for the results of its Assembly polls, a region-wise and margin-wise analysis of the last two elections, in 2016 and 2021, shows that the AIADMK, in the recently concluded voting for 2026, needs to not only retain its hold in the western region but also gain ground in the northern, central and Greater Chennai regions, which it had ceded to the DMK-led alliance in 2021, to get back to power.

The second phase of the West Bengal assembly polls recorded a high voter participation reaching 89.99% till 5 p. m., according to Election commission of India (ECI) figures. The unusually high voter turnout has prompted two competing interpretations from BJP and TMC, both reading it as a favourable sign.

"We will, of course, retain Puducherry and Assam, but we will also form governments in West Bengal and Tamil Nadu. We'll increase our vote share and have more seats or open our account in Kerala in a bigger way in this election. In the long run, the Bharatiya Janata Party-led National Democratic Alliance, with its growing acceptability and public faith and trust in Prime Minister Narendra Modi, is clearly the alternative to the corrupt, inept governments led by the Rahul Gandhi family, Congress Party, or the Mamata Banerjee family, Trinamool Congress, or the Stalin family, DMK. All of these are private limited companies run by these families against a strong, people-driven, worker-driven organisation like the Bharatiya Janta Party and our friends," Goyal said.