Exit Poll Results 2026 Live: Exit Poll Round-Up Signals Hung Assembly in Bengal, Mamata Faces Challenge; LDF Likely to Lose Kerala
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Exit polls for the 2026 Assembly elections show a mixed but quite clear picture across major states, with regional factors playing a big role in the results.
In Assam, the NDA is expected to sweep comfortably, while Kerala may see a change in power with the UDF gaining a clear edge over the LDF.
In Tamil Nadu, the DMK+ alliance is likely to retain power with a strong majority, and TVK+ emerges as an important third factor. Though Exit polls slightly favour the BJP, West Bengal remains a close contest.
These predictions offer early signals, the final result will be known on 4th May
In Assam, the NDA is expected to sweep comfortably, while Kerala may see a change in power with the UDF gaining a clear edge over the LDF.
In Tamil Nadu, the DMK+ alliance is likely to retain power with a strong majority, and TVK+ emerges as an important third factor. Though Exit polls slightly favour the BJP, West Bengal remains a close contest.
These predictions offer early signals, the final result will be known on 4th May
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West Bengal Exit Poll Results 2026 LIVE: This is what pollsters predicted for other states
The exit polls in other key regional elections were broadly in line with expectations. In Tamil Nadu, Chief Minister MK Stalin's Dravida Munnetra Kazhagam (DMK) was set to retain power for the second consecutive time.Exit Poll Results 2026 Live
"Under the leadership of the prime minister and home minister, and through the hard work of BJP workers, success is clear. People have embraced the BJP’s ideology and leadership. In Assam, good governance under Himanta Biswa Sarma has won strong public support, ensuring another term. In West Bengal, the BJP has risen from three seats to 77, and now looks set to form a double‑engine government. Puducherry too will see NDA return. In Kerala and Tamil Nadu, the BJP’s vote share is rising, and progress is evident. Historic turnout shows people’s faith in democracy and their trust in the BJP’s leadership. This is a great victory for our workers and our leadership," BJP MP Aparajita Sarangi said.- The people of Bengal have voted for development under PM Modi. The polling percentage was almost 92%, which symbolises that the people of Bengal have shown trust in PM Modi... No daughter was safe in Bengal... 4th May will be an auspicious day for Bengal.Sanjay Seth, Union minister of state for defence
West Bengal Exit Poll 2026: Predictions from different Pollsters
The exit poll by Chanakya Strategies has projected 150-160 seats, while Mamata Banerjee-led Trinamool Congress (TMC) likely to secure 130-140 seats. Other parties projected to win 6-10 seats.
According to Matrize exit poll, BJP lead with 146-161 seats, while TMC is projected to win 125 to 140 seats. Other parties may win 6-10 seats in the state.
Poll Diary has projected 142 to 171 Assembly seats in the BJP's corner while TMC may get 99-127 seats and other parties projected to win 5-9 seats in West Bengal.Assam Exit Poll 2026 Live: Matrize projects BJP win in Assam
BJP: 85-95
Congress: 25-32
Others: 6-12- Exit polls may not be perfect, but BJP and NDA expect strong results in Assam. Voters have backed the BJP for development, identity, and leadership under Narendra Modi and Himanta Biswa Sarma, giving what is set to be a historic mandate for a third term... In Bengal, too, people have voted against Mamata Banerjee’s 15 years of corruption and syndicate rule. Despite TMC’s attempts to create fear, voters came out boldly, strengthening India’s democratic process.Dilip Saikia, Assam BJP president
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