Lok Sabha Elections: How Close Were The 2019 Exit Polls To The Final Results? Find Out Here

Anticipation is mounting for the 2024 Lok Sabha election results, with various stakeholders eagerly awaiting the outcome. Political pundits, including Prashant Kishor , are predicting a victory for the BJP-led National Democratic Alliance , but the Opposition remains determined to compete until the end. Following the final phase of voting on June 1, exit polls will be released, providing an early look at potential outcomes before the official results are announced on June 4.

Exit polls are not released until voting concludes due to the Model Code of Conduct. According to the Election Commission, exit polls are embargoed until 6:30 pm on June 1.

How are exit polls conducted?

Exit polls survey voters immediately after they leave polling stations to gauge public sentiment. Various media outlets, such as India Today, ABP News, and News24, conduct these polls and broadcast the results under different names. Although exit polls are not always accurate, they provide early insights into possible election results.

In 2019, most exit polls correctly predicted a victory for the BJP-led NDA, which ultimately won 353 seats, with the BJP securing 303 seats on its own. The Congress-led UPA won 90 seats. To form a government, a party or coalition needs at least 272 seats in the Lok Sabha.

Accuracy of the 2019 exit polls:

India Today-Axis My India: Predicted 339-365 seats for the NDA and 77-108 seats for the UPA. This prediction was based on a survey of approximately 800,000 people across all constituencies.

News24-Todays Chanakya: Estimated that the NDA would win about 350 seats (plus or minus 14) and the UPA would win about 95 seats (plus or minus 9).

News18-IPSOS: Predicted 336 seats for the NDA and 82 seats for the UPA, with 124 seats for other parties.

Times Now-VMR: Projected around 306 seats for the NDA and 132 seats for the UPA, with a margin of error of 3 seats for all projections.

India TV-CNX: Estimated 300 seats (plus or minus 10) for the NDA and 120 seats (plus or minus 5) for the UPA.

ABP-CSDS: Predicted 277 seats for the NDA and 130 seats for the UPA.

India News-Polstrat: Estimated 287 seats for the NDA and 128 seats for the UPA.

CVoter: Predicted 287 seats for the NDA, 128 for the UPA, and the remaining seats for other parties.