US-Iran war impact on India so far: Some important charts

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The US-Iran conflict is showing no signs of immediate resolution though both sides have acknowledged that talks continue. As the conflict has continued for weeks, pressure on the Strait of Hormuz - a critical shipping corridor has persisted - affecting energy movement and supply chains worldwide.

With supply concerns mounting, crude oil prices have surged beyond the $100-per-barrel level, compared to nearly $70 before the conflict escalated. Brent crude, remaining above $111 per barrel, has triggered wider effects across fuel prices, currencies, trade activity, and financial markets.
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A single geopolitical flashpoint is now creating far-reaching economic consequences.

The impact is being felt well beyond the conflict zone, with economies such as India facing growing pressure. Rising oil prices are beginning to influence household budgets, fuel expenses, personal financial planning, and day-to-day spending, while investors continue to see significant losses in their portfolios.

Petrol and diesel prices have risen. Rupee has depreciated to near levels of 97. There are talks of a stress test on the balance of payments. Forex reserves have fallen. The stock market has crashed, outflows are at record high.

India’s economic resilience is being seen as important in dealing with the storm. Economists are saying that the fundamentals remain strong, but the length of the conflict is likely to determine the exact impact on both demand side and supply chain dynamics. The government and the RBI are looking to support the economy, but the external sector pressures have emerged as the biggest worry right now.

How has the war impacted India’s key economic parameters? Check important charts at Google Pinpont.